Maximum human lifespan
node
The longest age any human being has been shown to reach, and the contested question of whether it is a fixed biological ceiling. The record has stood since 1997 at 122 years and 164 days. That is the fact that resists every optimistic reading of the demographic transition: hundreds of millions more people now reach old age than in 1900, which should by itself produce more record-holders, and the record has not moved in nearly three decades. Dong, Milholland and Vijg argued in Nature in 2016 that the maximum reported age at death plateaued around the mid-1990s and inferred a natural limit near 115 years; the paper drew several published technical rebuttals disputing the statistical treatment of an extreme-value problem with very sparse data. The honest position is that the data cannot presently distinguish a hard ceiling from a soft one that the current population is not yet large enough to breach.
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Assembled from 14 blocks · 2 evidence · 10 related
- Story
- The longest age any human being has been shown to reach, and the contested question of whether it is a fixed biological ceiling. The record has stood since 1997 at 122 years and 164 days. That is the fact that resists every optimistic reading of the demographic transition: hundreds of millions more people now reach old age than in 1900, which should by itself produce more record-holders, and the record has not moved in nearly three decades. Dong, Milholland and Vijg argued in Nature in 2016 that the maximum reported age at death plateaued around the mid-1990s and inferred a natural limit near 115 years; the paper drew several published technical rebuttals disputing the statistical treatment of an extreme-value problem with very sparse data. The honest position is that the data cannot presently distinguish a hard ceiling from a soft one that the current population is not yet large enough to breach.
- Knowledge
- Maximum human lifespan
- Connections
- Compression of mortality (rectangularisation of the survival curve)
- Jeanne Calment
- Blue Zones
- Jeanne Calment dies at 122 years and 164 days
- A natural limit to human lifespan is argued for, and disputed
- Calment's record is publicly challenged
- Evidence
- Supports the argument for a natural limit near 115 years and, equally, the existence of substantial published dissent from its statistical treatment. V55 verification basis: neither the paper nor the comments were retrieved.
- Supports the validation of Jeanne Calment's age as 122 years and 164 days. V55 verification basis: not retrieved in this session.
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