A published projection that reefs would bleach faster than they could recover

Assembled from 37 blocks · 1 evidence · 21 related

1. Story
2. A review in Marine and Freshwater Research argued that, on the warming trajectories then projected, the interval between bleaching events on most reefs would fall below the time corals need to recover, so that the constraint on reefs was not the severity of any single event but the frequency of events. It was widely contested when published. The subsequent record of the 2010s is generally read as having borne out its central claim about frequency.
3. Knowledge
4. Reef-building corals (Scleractinia)
5. Coral bleaching
6. A published projection that reefs would bleach faster than they could recover
7. Connections
8. Coral bleaching
9. Reef-building corals (Scleractinia)
10. Reef-building corals (Scleractinia)
11. Marine heatwave
12. Degree Heating Weeks (DHW)
13. Symbiont shuffling and thermal tolerance
14. The first global mass bleaching event
15. A published projection that reefs would bleach faster than they could recover
16. The second global bleaching event
17. The third global bleaching event
18. Mass bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef
19. A second consecutive year of mass bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef
20. The interval between severe bleaching events is measured, and it has collapsed
21. Mass bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef during a La Nina
22. The fourth global bleaching event is confirmed
23. The fifth mass bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef since 2016
24. The current state of the fourth global bleaching event is not established in this package
25. Marine heatwave
26. Zooxanthellae (Symbiodiniaceae)
27. Zooxanthellae (Symbiodiniaceae)
28. Coral bleaching
29. Crown-of-thorns starfish (Acanthaster)
30. Elkhorn coral (Acropora palmata)
31. Darwin publishes The Structure and Distribution of Coral Reefs
32. The first global mass bleaching event
33. A published projection that reefs would bleach faster than they could recover
34. Mass bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef
35. The interval between severe bleaching events is measured, and it has collapsed
36. Evidence
37. On projected warming, the interval between bleaching events would fall below the interval corals need to recover, making event frequency rather than event severity the binding constraint on reefs. V55 verification basis: not consulted in this session; identified and summarised from the producing model's knowledge of the paper and its subsequent reception.