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The rise in life expectancy at birth

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The roughly two-fold increase in life expectancy at birth over roughly two centuries — from an estimated global average near thirty years around 1800 to about seventy-three before the COVID-19 pandemic. The phrase misleads almost everyone who reads it. Life expectancy at birth is an arithmetic mean over a whole synthetic cohort, so it is dominated by deaths at the youngest ages: a population in which a quarter of children die before their fifth birthday has a low life expectancy even if the adults who survive childhood commonly reach sixty or seventy. What changed was overwhelmingly the number of people dying young, not the age at which old people die. In England and Wales period life expectancy at birth was roughly forty-one years in the 1840s and is around eighty-one today, but life expectancy conditional on already having reached age sixty-five rose by a far smaller number of years over the same interval. The gain was produced by public health, infection control and, later, cardiovascular medicine — not by any intervention in the biology of ageing.

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Assembled from 36 blocks · 2 evidence · 18 related

  1. Story
  2. The roughly two-fold increase in life expectancy at birth over roughly two centuries — from an estimated global average near thirty years around 1800 to about seventy-three before the COVID-19 pandemic. The phrase misleads almost everyone who reads it. Life expectancy at birth is an arithmetic mean over a whole synthetic cohort, so it is dominated by deaths at the youngest ages: a population in which a quarter of children die before their fifth birthday has a low life expectancy even if the adults who survive childhood commonly reach sixty or seventy. What changed was overwhelmingly the number of people dying young, not the age at which old people die. In England and Wales period life expectancy at birth was roughly forty-one years in the 1840s and is around eighty-one today, but life expectancy conditional on already having reached age sixty-five rose by a far smaller number of years over the same interval. The gain was produced by public health, infection control and, later, cardiovascular medicine — not by any intervention in the biology of ageing.
  3. Knowledge
  4. The rise in life expectancy at birth
  5. The collapse of infant and child mortality
  6. Sanitation and water treatment
  7. Vaccination
  8. Antibiotics
  9. Connections
  10. Antibiotics
  11. The collapse of infant and child mortality
  12. Sanitation and water treatment
  13. Vaccination
  14. Reversals in life expectancy
  15. The pandemic erases a decade of life expectancy gains
  16. The rise in life expectancy at birth
  17. Alexander Fleming
  18. Fleming observes lysis around a Penicillium colony
  19. The first patient is treated with penicillin at Oxford
  20. The rise in life expectancy at birth
  21. Sanitation and water treatment
  22. Routine chlorination of a municipal water supply begins in the United States
  23. Edwin Chadwick
  24. The rise in life expectancy at birth
  25. The collapse of infant and child mortality
  26. John Snow
  27. The Broad Street pump handle is removed
  28. Routine chlorination of a municipal water supply begins in the United States
  29. The rise in life expectancy at birth
  30. Edward Jenner
  31. Jenner inoculates James Phipps with cowpox
  32. The last naturally acquired smallpox case begins, at Marka
  33. The World Health Assembly declares smallpox eradicated
  34. Evidence
  35. Supports the historical global life expectancy series used here — roughly thirty years around 1800 rising to the mid-sixties by 2001. V55 verification basis: not retrieved in this session; volume and page numbers are deliberately given loosely because the producer could not confirm them.
  36. Supports the paired life expectancy and healthy life expectancy figures and the pandemic-era reversal. V55 verification basis: the report was NOT retrieved; the specific edition carrying the 2021 values must be identified and the figures checked by the curator.
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