Longevity
How these connect
The rise in life expectancy at birth and what it relates to. Every line is an evidence-backed relation, and the arrangement is fixed — this address draws this picture, today and next year.
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- Expand Antibiotics — 1 more
- Expand Sanitation and water treatment — 2 more
- Expand Vaccination — 1 more
Every relation drawn, in words6
- Reversals in life expectancy · contradicts · The rise in life expectancy at birth
Multi-year declines in the United States, in 1990s Russia and globally during the pandemic show the historical increase is contingent on social and health-system conditions rather than monotonic.
- The rise in life expectancy at birth · caused_by · Antibiotics
Antibiotics consolidated the decline in deaths from bacterial infection, arriving after sanitation and nutrition had already produced most of the gain.
- The rise in life expectancy at birth · caused_by · The collapse of infant and child mortality
Moving deaths out of infancy raises the cohort mean by decades per death averted, which is why life expectancy at birth rose so much further than life expectancy at sixty-five.
- The rise in life expectancy at birth · caused_by · Sanitation and water treatment
Clean water supply, sewerage separation, filtration and chlorination are the single largest identified contributor to the modern mortality decline.
- The rise in life expectancy at birth · caused_by · Vaccination
Childhood immunisation removed a large share of deaths in the first five years of life, the age band that dominates life expectancy at birth.
- Sanitation and water treatment · affects · The collapse of infant and child mortality
Waterborne diarrhoeal disease killed disproportionately in the first two years of life, so water treatment acted most strongly on infant mortality.