The tipping point estimate is revised sharply downward
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Lovejoy and Nobre argue in Science Advances that the Amazon dieback threshold lies at twenty to twenty-five per cent deforestation rather than the roughly forty per cent proposed two years earlier, on the grounds that fire, clearance and climate change interact rather than add. The revision is the most consequential number in the debate and it is a judgement about interaction terms, not a measurement.
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Connections · 2
- The Amazon Dieback Thresholdconcerns
- Carlos Nobreconcerns
Assembled narrative · 1
Assembled from 20 blocks · 1 evidence · 22 related
- Story
- Lovejoy and Nobre argue in Science Advances that the Amazon dieback threshold lies at twenty to twenty-five per cent deforestation rather than the roughly forty per cent proposed two years earlier, on the grounds that fire, clearance and climate change interact rather than add. The revision is the most consequential number in the debate and it is a judgement about interaction terms, not a measurement.
- Knowledge
- The Amazon Dieback Threshold
- Carlos Nobre
- The tipping point estimate is revised sharply downward
- Connections
- The Amazon Dieback Threshold
- Carlos Nobre
- Amazon Deforestation
- Moisture Recycling
- Carlos Nobre
- The tipping point estimate is revised sharply downward
- The threshold question is reframed as compounding disturbance
- Critical transitions in the Amazon forest system
- Pronounced loss of Amazon rainforest resilience since the early 2000s
- The Amazon Dieback Threshold
- The tipping point estimate is revised sharply downward
- Evidence
- Supports the revised, substantially lower deforestation threshold for Amazon dieback and the argument that fire, clearance and climate change interact rather than add. V55 verification basis: the article DOI page was probed in this session and returned EGRESS_BLOCKED; neither the article nor any summary of it was retrieved, and the quoted percentage range is stated from the producing model's knowledge.
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/atlas?object=EVT_LOVEJOY_NOBRE_2018&experience=EVT_LOVEJOY_NOBRE_2018