Energy Transition
How these connect
The electrified share of final energy and what it relates to. Every line is an evidence-backed relation, and the arrangement is fixed — this address draws this picture, today and next year.
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- Expand Aviation — 2 more
- Expand Heavy industry (steel, cement and chemicals) — 2 more
- Expand International shipping — 2 more
Every relation drawn, in words4
- The electrified share of final energy · constrained_by · Heavy industry (steel, cement and chemicals)
Process emissions and high-temperature process heat mean industry cannot simply be moved onto the wire, which caps how far the electrified share of final energy can rise by substitution.
- The electrified share of final energy · constrained_by · Aviation
Long-haul flight is excluded from electrification by energy density rather than by cost, so it subtracts permanently from the fraction of final energy that a wire can carry.
- The electrified share of final energy · constrained_by · International shipping
Deep-sea shipping needs weeks of stored energy in a hull, which restricts it to liquid or liquefied fuels and keeps it outside the electrified share.
- The electric heat pump · affects · The electrified share of final energy
Heat pumps move space and water heating — one of the largest non-electric energy services in temperate countries — onto electricity at a coefficient of performance around three.