ECMWF's AI forecasts become operational, with the GenCast evaluation
evidence
ECMWF's Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System became operational on 25 February 2025, outperforming the physics-based system on many measures including tropical cyclone tracks with gains of up to 20%; GenCast, published in Nature in December 2024, is reported to have beaten the ECMWF ensemble on 97.2% of 1,320 evaluation targets and to produce a fifteen-day global forecast in about eight minutes on a single accelerator. V55 verification basis: neither ecmwf.int nor nature.com was fetched. The operational date and the up-to-20% figure were carried in search results attributing them to ECMWF's own news item; the 97.2%, 1,320-target and eight-minute figures were carried with attribution to the Nature paper and to reporting of it.
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