Wright publishes the airframe cost-quantity relationship
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Theodore P. Wright publishes "Factors Affecting the Cost of Airplanes" in the Journal of the Aeronautical Sciences, reporting that airframe labour cost fell by a consistent percentage with each doubling of cumulative units produced. The paper is about aircraft manufacturing economics and says nothing about energy. It nonetheless supplies the functional form that eighty years later becomes the central empirical claim in energy-technology forecasting, and it locates that claim firmly in repeated manufacture — the boundary condition that later determines which energy technologies follow the curve and which do not.
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- Theodore Paul Wrightconcerns
- The experience (learning) curveconcerns
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- Story
- Theodore P. Wright publishes "Factors Affecting the Cost of Airplanes" in the Journal of the Aeronautical Sciences, reporting that airframe labour cost fell by a consistent percentage with each doubling of cumulative units produced. The paper is about aircraft manufacturing economics and says nothing about energy. It nonetheless supplies the functional form that eighty years later becomes the central empirical claim in energy-technology forecasting, and it locates that claim firmly in repeated manufacture — the boundary condition that later determines which energy technologies follow the curve and which do not.
- Knowledge
- The experience (learning) curve
- Theodore Paul Wright
- Wright publishes the airframe cost-quantity relationship
- Connections
- Theodore Paul Wright
- The experience (learning) curve
- The experience (learning) curve
- Wright publishes the airframe cost-quantity relationship
- Theodore Paul Wright
- Photovoltaic solar generation
- The horizontal-axis wind turbine
- Lithium-ion battery storage
- Nuclear fission power
- International Energy Agency
- Wright publishes the airframe cost-quantity relationship
- The conventional start of the photovoltaic module price series
- Germany's Renewable Energy Sources Act takes effect
- Chinese manufacturing takes over the photovoltaic supply chain
- The photovoltaic learning curve is popularised as Swanson's law
- Vogtle Unit 4 enters commercial operation
- Empirically grounded technology forecasts and the energy transition
- Evidence
- Establishes that unit production cost falls by a roughly constant proportion with each doubling of cumulative output — the relationship later called Wright's law and applied to energy technologies. V55 verification basis: neither WebSearch nor WebFetch was available in this session; the citation and its content are stated from author knowledge of the paper as it is cited throughout the technology-learning literature, and the page range is deliberately omitted because it could not be confirmed.
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