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Recordedmonthscience

OSNAP moves the engine room out of the Labrador Sea

The first 21 months of OSNAP data, from August 2014 to April 2016, gave a mean overturning of 15.6 ± 0.8 Sv across OSNAP East and 2.1 ± 0.3 Sv across OSNAP West — a factor of roughly seven. Published in Science, the result contradicted the prevailing assumption that Labrador Sea convection dominates the strength and variability of subpolar overturning, and relocated most of the water-mass transformation to the Irminger and Iceland basins east of Greenland.

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Recorded on Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program (OSNAP)

  1. The RAPID array begins continuous AMOC measurement at 26.5°N
  2. Twenty-two years of continuous AMOC observation
  3. OSNAP is deployed across the subpolar North Atlantic
  4. OSNAP moves the engine room out of the Labrador Sea
  5. IPCC AR6 assesses AMOC decline as very likely and collapse as unlikely this century
  6. A statistical early-warning analysis puts an AMOC collapse mid-century
  7. A physics-based early warning signal is proposed

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